Table 3 Calibration and discrimination of development studies
From: Prediction models for the risk of gestational diabetes: a systematic review
Study | Risk predictors | AUC | Calibration | Sensitivity | Specificity | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Predictors and no. of predictors | Original study | External validation 1 | External validation 2 | |||||
1. Caliskan 2004 | Poor outcome, age, BMI, fam hx of DM, hx of macrosomia | 5 | NR | 0.68 [0.65–0.71] | 85.7 [67.4–100] | 67 [59.4–74.8] | ||
2. Eleftheriades 2014 | Weight, age | 2 | 0.73 [0.65–0.81] | 32.4 NR | 90 NR | |||
3. Gabbay-Benziv 2014 | Age, ethnicity, hx of GDM, hx of macrosomia | 5 | 0.81 [0.77–0.87] | p = 0.18 | 85 [74.6–93.2] | 62 [57.4–64.0] | ||
4. Nanda 2011 | Age, BMI, ethnicity, hx of GDM, hx of macrosomia | 5 | 0.79 [0.76–0.82] | 52.9 NR | 90 NR | |||
5. Naylor 1997 | Age, BMI, ethnicity | 3 | 0.69 NR | 0.67 [0.64–0.70] | 0.64 [0.56–0.72] | p = 0.93 | 65.9 NR | 84 NR |
6. Pintaudi 2014 | BMI, glucose, hx of macrosomia, fam hx of DM | 4 | NR | 89 NR | 40 NR | |||
7. Popova 2014 | BMI, glucose, AC, PCOS | 4 | NR | NR | NR | |||
8. Savona-Ventura 2013 | Age, glucose, blood pressure | 3 | 0.89 [0.86–0.91] | 96.6 NR | 37.5 NR | |||
9. Savvidou 2010 | Age, BMI, ethnicity, hx of GDM, mode of conception, parity, smoking | 7 | 0.82 NR | NR | NR | |||
10. Shirazian 2009 | Age, BMI, fam hx of DM | 3 | NR | NR | NR | |||
11. Syngelaki 2011 | Age, BMI, ethnicity, mode of conception, smoking, hx of chronic hypertension, parity, hx of macrosomia | 8 | NR | NR | NR | |||
12. Teede 2011 | Age, BMI, ethnicity, fam hx of DM, hx of GDM | 5 | 0.70 NR | 0.74 [0.70–0.78] | 0.60 [0.56–0.64] | 68.0 [61.3–73.9] | 70.8 [68.8–72.6] | |
13. Tran 2013 ADA criteria | Age, BMI | 2 | 0.71 [0.68–0.75] | 79.9 NR | 48.5 NR | |||
13. Tran 2013 IADPSG criteria | Age, BMI, fam hx of DM | 3 | 0.65 [0.62–0.67] | 70.4 NR | 52.5 NR | |||
13. Tran 2013 WHO criteria | Age, BMI | 2 | 0.63 [0.60–0.65] | 65.1 NR | 53.7 NR | |||
13. Tran 2013 ADIPS criteria | Age, BMI | 2 | 0.64 [0.62–0.67] | 64.1 NR | 56.8 NR | |||
14. Van Leeuwen 2010 | BMI, ethnicity, fam hx of DM, hx of GDM | 5 | 0.77 [0.69–0.85] | 0.76 [0.73–0.79] | p = 0.25 | 45.8 [28.2–64.5] | 88.4 [87.9–88.8] | |