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Fig. 1 | Diagnostic and Prognostic Research

Fig. 1

From: The Brier score does not evaluate the clinical utility of diagnostic tests or prediction models

Fig. 1

Calibration plot for various continuous prediction models of differing degrees of miscalibration. All prediction models have an AUC of 0.75 for predicting an event with prevalence 20%. The prediction models include the following: a well-calibrated prediction model, a model that is miscalibrated such that it overestimates risk, a prediction model that underestimates risk, and a prediction model that more severely underestimates risk

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