From: Repeatedly measured predictors: a comparison of methods for prediction modeling
Method | Model includes | Outcome at 10y | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Overweight | BMI-SDS | ||||
Nk R2 | AUC | R 2 | AUC | ||
1. All original measurements | BMI-SDS at age 0 days, 3 months, 6 months, 14 months, 2 years, 3 years, 5.5 years | 0.244a | 0.807a | 0.339b | 0.801b |
2. Single ‘best’ measurement | BMI-SDS at age 5.5 years | 0.230 | 0.799 | 0.329 | 0.799 |
3. Summary measurement | Mean (BMI-SDS at age 0 days, 3 months, 6 months, 14 months, 2 years, 3 years, 5.5 years) | 0.168 | 0.767 | 0.238 | 0.767 |
3. Summary measurement | Maximum (BMI-SDS at age 0 days, 3 months, 6 months, 14 months, 2 years, 3 years, 5.5 years) | 0.130 | 0.737 | 0.177 | 0.737 |
4. Change between measurements | BMI-SDS at age 0 days and BMI-SDS changes between ages 3m-0d, 6m-3m, 14m-6m, 2y-14m, 3y-2y, 5.5y-3y | 0.244c | 0.807c | 0.339d | 0.801d |
5. Conditional measurements | BMI-SDS at age 0 days and conditional BMI-SDS at age 3 months, 6 months, 14 months, 2 years, 3 years, 5.5 years | 0.244e | 0.807e | 0.348 | 0.806 |
6. Growth curve parameters | Mean and regression coefficients of the cubic growth curve (\( mean,{b}_{age},{b}_{age^2},{b}_{age^3} \)) | 0.241 | 0.803 | 0.337 | 0.803 |