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Table 3 Performance metrics for the four sequential prediction models

From: Multivariate prediction of mixed, multilevel, sequential outcomes arising from in vitro fertilisation

  Pre-treatment separate Pre-treatment joint Dynamic separate Dynamic joint
Number of oocytes (RMSE) 5.96 5.96 5.96 5.96
Fertilisation rate (RMSE) 2.88 2.83 2.80 2.86
Embryo evenness (RMSE) 1.00 1.00 1.02 1.02
Embryo fragmentation (RMSE) 1.09 1.08 1.08 1.12
DET (Brier score) 0.24 0.24 0.23 0.25
DET (AUC, 95% CI) 0.58, 0.55 to 0.60 0.58, 0.55 to 0.60 0.64, 0.62 to 0.66 0.58, 0.55 to 0.60
LBE (Brier score) 0.22 0.22 0.21 0.23
LBE (AUC, 95% CI) 0.55, 0.53 to 0.58 0.55, 0.53 to 0.58 0.60, 0.58 to 0.63 0.47, 0.44 to 0.49
  1. RMSE Root mean squared error, AUC Area under receiver operating characteristic curve, CI Confidence interval